Copa America
Jun 21, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Federico Valverde 13' yellowcard
  • Arturo Vidal 66' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 19'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 26'

Uruguay vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 19, 2021 1.00am
Argentina 1 - 0 Uruguay

Chile

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 18, 2021 10.00pm
Chile 1 - 0 Bolivia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Chile had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Chile win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Uruguay 43.17%
Draw 27.35%
Chile 29.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.13%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.09%
Over 3.5 22.03%
Under 3.5 77.97%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 73.79%
Under 0.5 26.21%
Over 1.5 38.7%
Under 1.5 61.3%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 65.22%
Under 0.5 34.78%
Over 1.5 28.49%
Under 1.5 71.51%

Score analysis

Uruguay 43.17%
Draw 27.35%
Chile 29.48%
Uruguay
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.35%
Chile
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 29.48%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 8, 2020 11.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 59' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 90'+3' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 54'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 75'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 90'+1'
Copa America
Jun 25, 2019 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro
  • yellowcard Giovanni Gonzalez 70'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 82'
Copa America
Jun 25, 2015 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jorge Valdivia 18' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 43' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 81' goal
  • Mauricio Pinilla 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 29'
  • yellowcard Jorge Fucile 40'
  • redcard Edinson Cavani 63'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Pereira 67'
  • redcard Jorge Fucile 88'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups