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Uruguay national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
Chile national football team

Uruguay
1 - 1
Chile

Vidal (66' og.)
Valverde (13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vargas (26')
Sierralta (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chile could line up for Monday's Copa America clash with Uruguay.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Chile had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Chile win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
UruguayDrawChile
43.17%27.35%29.48%
Both teams to score 48.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9%57.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03%77.97%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7%61.3%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22%34.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49%71.51%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 43.17%
    Chile 29.48%
    Draw 27.35%
UruguayDrawChile
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Chile

Uruguay
63.7%
Draw
22.9%
Chile
13.4%
157
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2020 11.45pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
2-1
Chile
Suarez (39' pen.), Gomez (90+3')
Coates (55'), Bentancur (59'), Gomez (90+6')
Sanchez (54')
Sierralta (75'), Baeza (90+1')
Jun 25, 2019 12am
Group Stage
Chile
0-1
Uruguay
Cavani (82')
Gonzalez (70')
Jun 25, 2015 12.30am
Quarter-Finals
Chile
1-0
Uruguay
rhs 2.0
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