Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.