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World Cup

Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2020 at 1.30am UK
 
Colombia national football team

Chile
2 - 2
Colombia

Vidal (37' pen.), Sanchez (41')
Vidal (29'), Sierralta (39'), Diaz (80'), Cortes (86'), Vargas (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lerma (6'), Falcao (90+1')
Sanchez (21'), Rodriguez (44')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Chile and Colombia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
ChileDrawColombia
42.45%26.55%31%
Both teams to score 51.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51%53.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99%75.01%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05%24.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42%59.58%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22%31.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79%68.22%
Score Analysis
    Chile 42.44%
    Colombia 31%
    Draw 26.54%
ChileDrawColombia
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31%