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Copa America

Uruguay national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2021 at 1am UK
 
Paraguay national football team

Uruguay
1 - 0
Paraguay

Cavani (21' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alderete (43'), Alonso (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Paraguay could line up in their Copa America group match against Uruguay.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
UruguayDrawParaguay
50.97%25.96%23.06%
Both teams to score 47.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44%56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91%77.09%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97%22.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64%55.36%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33%39.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65%76.35%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 50.97%
    Paraguay 23.06%
    Draw 25.96%
UruguayDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.22%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 50.97%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.06%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Paraguay

Uruguay
67.5%
Draw
19.5%
Paraguay
13.0%
123
rhs 2.0


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