World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2021 at 10pm UK

Ecuador
0 - 0
Chile

Valencia (21')

Vegas (13'), Roco (58'), Vargas (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Chile had a probability of 28.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Chile
40.42%	31.23%	28.35%

Both teams to score 37.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.44%

69.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.05%

86.95%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66%

34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32%

70.68%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31%

42.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.97%

79.03%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 40.41%

Chile 28.35%

Draw 31.22%

Ecuador	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 15.65% 2-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 7.19% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.41%	0-0 @ 14.51% 1-1 @ 13.32% 2-2 @ 3.06% Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.22%	0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.35%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Chile

Ecuador

46.4%

Draw

26.1%

Chile

27.5%