/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbollog.png)
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Michael Estrada
14'
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Enner Valencia
17'
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Enner Valencia
19'
Ecuador vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F26%2Fecuador.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
Result
Ecuador
63.83%
Draw
23.01%
Bolivia
13.16%
Both Teams to Score:
38.38%
Goals
Over 2.5
41.76%
Under 2.5
58.24%
Over 3.5
21.12%
Under 3.5
78.88%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
82.13%
Under 0.5
17.87%
Over 1.5
51.35%
Under 1.5
48.65%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
46.73%
Under 0.5
53.27%
Over 1.5
13.18%
Under 1.5
86.82%
Score analysis
Ecuador
63.82%
Draw
23%
Bolivia
13.16%
Ecuador
1-0
@
16.39%
2-0 @ 14.11%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 5.1%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 63.82%
2-0 @ 14.11%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 5.1%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 63.82%
Draw
1-1
@
10.32%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23%
Bolivia
0-1
@
6%
1-2 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 13.16%
1-2 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 13.16%
