/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Furulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbollog.png)
-
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
15'
-
Federico Valverde
31'
-
Agustin Alvarez
47'
-
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
65'
-
Marcelo Moreno
60'
-
Marcelo Moreno
79'
Uruguay vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F25%2Fdiego-godin.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result
Uruguay
72.89%
Draw
17.23%
Bolivia
9.88%
Both Teams to Score:
44.86%
Goals
Over 2.5
56.64%
Under 2.5
43.36%
Over 3.5
34.24%
Under 3.5
65.76%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
89.56%
Under 0.5
10.44%
Over 1.5
65.96%
Under 1.5
34.04%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
50.09%
Under 0.5
49.91%
Over 1.5
15.4%
Under 1.5
84.6%
Score analysis
Uruguay
72.87%
Draw
17.23%
Bolivia
9.88%
Uruguay
2-0
@
13.3%
1-0 @ 11.77%
3-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 3.93%
5-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 72.87%
1-0 @ 11.77%
3-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 3.93%
5-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 72.87%
Draw
1-1
@
8.18%
0-0 @ 5.21%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.23%
0-0 @ 5.21%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.23%
Bolivia
0-1
@
3.62%
1-2 @ 2.84%
0-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 9.88%
1-2 @ 2.84%
0-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 9.88%
