World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2021 at 11pm UK

Uruguay
4 - 2
Bolivia

De Arrascaeta (15', 65' pen.), Valverde (31'), Alvarez (47')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moreno (60', 79' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Bolivia
72.89%	17.23%	9.88%

Both teams to score 44.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.64%

43.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24%

65.76%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.56%

10.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.96%

34.04%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.09%

49.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.4%

84.6%

Score Analysis

Uruguay 72.87%

Bolivia 9.88%

Draw 17.23%

Uruguay	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 13.3% 1-0 @ 11.77% 3-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 5.66% 4-1 @ 3.93% 5-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.37% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.91% Total : 72.87%	1-1 @ 8.18% 0-0 @ 5.21% 2-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.23%	0-1 @ 3.62% 1-2 @ 2.84% 0-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.16% Total : 9.88%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Bolivia

Uruguay

81.6%

Draw

15.8%

Bolivia

2.6%