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Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 11pm UK
 
Bolivia national football team

Uruguay
4 - 2
Bolivia

De Arrascaeta (15', 65' pen.), Valverde (31'), Alvarez (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moreno (60', 79' pen.)
Algaranaz (55'), Ramallo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawBolivia
72.89%17.23%9.88%
Both teams to score 44.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64%43.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24%65.76%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.56%10.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.96%34.04%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.09%49.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.4%84.6%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 72.87%
    Bolivia 9.88%
    Draw 17.23%
UruguayDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 13.3%
1-0 @ 11.77%
3-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 3.93%
5-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.37%
6-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 72.87%
1-1 @ 8.18%
0-0 @ 5.21%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.23%
0-1 @ 3.62%
1-2 @ 2.84%
0-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 9.88%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Bolivia

Uruguay
81.6%
Draw
15.8%
Bolivia
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
0-2
Uruguay

Chura (16'), Vaca (47'), Sanchez (81')
Lampe (40' og.), Cavani (79')
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-2
Bolivia
Caceres (40'), Cavani (42'), Suarez (60', 76')
Silva (24' og.), Godin (79' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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