World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jun 3, 2021 at 9pm UK

Bolivia
3 - 1
Venezuela

Moreno (5', 83'), Bejarano (60')
Bejarano (12'), Saavedra (45+3'), Justiniano (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chancellor (26')
Angel (33'), Gonzalez (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolivia	Draw	Venezuela
35.76%	23.56%	40.67%

Both teams to score 62.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11%

38.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.79%

61.2%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93%

55.06%

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.65%

51.34%

Score Analysis

Bolivia 35.76%

Venezuela 40.67%

Draw 23.56%

Bolivia	Draw	Venezuela
2-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.76%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 8.66% 0-1 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.67%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Venezuela

Bolivia

41.5%

Draw

34.1%

Venezuela

24.4%