World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2021 at 11.30pm UK

Uruguay
1 - 0
Ecuador

Pereiro (90+2')
Bentancur (66'), Nandez (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castillo (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.35%) and 3-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Ecuador
62.74%	25.32%	11.93%

Both teams to score 30.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.07%

66.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.78%

85.22%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28%

21.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11%

54.89%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.36%

60.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.03%

90.97%

Score Analysis

Uruguay 62.74%

Ecuador 11.93%

Draw 25.32%

Uruguay	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 20.11% 2-0 @ 15.35% 3-0 @ 7.81% 2-1 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.91% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.51% Total : 62.74%	0-0 @ 13.17% 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 2.52% 0-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 1.18% Total : 11.93%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Ecuador

Uruguay

60.8%

Draw

20.3%

Ecuador

19.0%