World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2021 at 12.15am UK

Chile
0 - 2
Ecuador

Meneses (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Estupinan (9'), Caicedo (90+3')
Castillo (26'), Franco (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Chile	Draw	Ecuador
57.52%	23.27%	19.22%

Both teams to score 49.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14%

49.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.14%

71.86%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91%

17.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.72%

47.28%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.86%

40.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23%

76.77%

Score Analysis

Chile 57.5%

Ecuador 19.22%

Draw 23.26%

Chile	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.76% 4-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.5%	1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.26% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.22%

How you voted: Chile vs Ecuador

Chile

47.9%

Draw

20.8%

Ecuador

31.3%