World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2021 at 1am UK

Chile
3 - 0
Venezuela

Pulgar (18', 37'), Brereton Diaz (73')
Pulgar (13'), Valdes (48')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (8'), Gonzalez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Venezuela
55.85%	21.99%	22.16%

Both teams to score 58.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.51%

40.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14%

62.86%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.61%

14.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.71%

42.29%

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16%

31.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72%

68.29%

Score Analysis

Chile 55.85%

Venezuela 22.16%

Draw 21.98%

Chile	Draw	Venezuela
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.14% Total : 55.85%	1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 5.82% 0-1 @ 5.24% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.16%

How you voted: Chile vs Venezuela

Chile

84.9%

Draw

4.3%

Venezuela

10.8%