/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fchilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fvenlog.png)
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Erick Pulgar
13'
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Erick Pulgar
18'
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Erick Pulgar
37'
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Diego Valdes
48'
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Ben Brereton Diaz
73'
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Ronald Hernandez
8'
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Oscar Gonzalez
88'
Chile vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F26%2Farturo-vidal.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
Result
Chile
55.85%
Draw
21.99%
Venezuela
22.16%
Both Teams to Score:
58.35%
Goals
Over 2.5
59.51%
Under 2.5
40.49%
Over 3.5
37.14%
Under 3.5
62.86%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
85.61%
Under 0.5
14.39%
Over 1.5
57.71%
Under 1.5
42.29%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
68.16%
Under 0.5
31.84%
Over 1.5
31.72%
Under 1.5
68.29%
Score analysis
Chile
55.85%
Draw
21.98%
Venezuela
22.16%
Chile
2-1
@
9.85%
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 3.09%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 55.85%
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 3.09%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 55.85%
Draw
1-1
@
10.16%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.98%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.98%
Venezuela
1-2
@
5.82%
0-1 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.16%
0-1 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.16%