World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 11, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charles Aranguiz 23' yellowcard
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Jimenez 54' yellowcard
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 69' goal
  • Mauricio Isla 72' goal
  • Charles Aranguiz 74' redcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Morel 15'
  • yellowcard Hernan Perez 23'
  • yellowcard Omar Alderete 83'
  • redcard Omar Alderete 89'

Chile vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 8, 2021 2.00am
Peru 2 - 0 Chile

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 8, 2021 12.00am
Paraguay 0 - 0 Argentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result

Chile 49.3%
Draw 24.26%
Paraguay 26.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.53%
Under 2.5 46.47%
Over 3.5 31.25%
Under 3.5 68.75%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 81.09%
Under 0.5 18.91%
Over 1.5 49.6%
Under 1.5 50.4%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 68.47%
Under 0.5 31.52%
Over 1.5 32.08%
Under 1.5 67.92%

Score analysis

Chile 49.3%
Draw 24.26%
Paraguay 26.43%
Chile
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 49.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.26%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 6.88%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 25, 2021 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ben Brereton 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 56' yellowcard
  • Claudio Bravo 58' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Samudio 33'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 58'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 78'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Aug 31, 2017 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental David Arellano
  • goal Arturo Vidal 24' (OG)
  • goal Victor Caceres 55'
  • goal Richard Ortiz 92'