World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2021 at 1am UK

Chile
2 - 0
Paraguay

Brereton Diaz (69'), Isla (72')
Aranguiz (23'), Brereton Diaz (42'), Jimenez (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morel (15'), Perez (23'), Alderete (83')
Alderete (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Paraguay
49.3%	24.26%	26.43%

Both teams to score 55.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53%

46.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25%

68.75%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6%

50.4%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47%

31.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08%

67.92%

Score Analysis

Chile 49.3%

Paraguay 26.43%

Draw 24.26%

Chile	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.3%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Chile vs Paraguay

Chile

28.0%

Draw

16.0%

Paraguay

56.0%