World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 3, 2021 at 2am UK

Chile
0 - 1
Brazil

Andres Morales Bravo (79'), Pulgar (82'), Vegas (87'), Vegas (90'), Maripan (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ribeiro (64')
Guimaraes (45+2'), Marquinhos (84'), Gerson (90+3'), Neymar (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Descp: Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's South American World Cup qualifier against Chile.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Chile had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Brazil
26.11%	22.47%	51.41%

Both teams to score 61.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41%

38.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11%

60.89%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.15%

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81%

15.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.19%

43.81%

Score Analysis

Chile 26.11%

Brazil 51.41%

Draw 22.47%

Chile	Draw	Brazil
2-1 @ 6.54% 1-0 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.11%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.47%	1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 1.83% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.41%