Copa America

Copa America | Final

Jul 11, 2021 at 1am UK

Argentina
1 - 0
Brazil

di Maria (22')
Paredes (33'), Lo Celso (51'), De Paul (68'), Otamendi (81'), Montiel (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fred (3'), Lodi (70'), Paqueta (72'), Marquinhos (82')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Argentina win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Brazil
25.43%	23.03%	51.54%

Both teams to score 58.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.21%

41.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.81%

64.19%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17%

29.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09%

65.91%

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7%

16.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.13%

45.87%

Score Analysis

Argentina 25.43%

Brazil 51.54%

Draw 23.02%

Argentina	Draw	Brazil
2-1 @ 6.45% 1-0 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.43%	1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.54%