Paraguay

2 - 1

Venezuela

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.