World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 11, 2021 at 9pm UK

Ecuador
1 - 0
Venezuela

Hincapie (41')
Plata (22')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramirez (16'), Andres Martinez (25'), Martinez (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Venezuela
55.58%	22.54%	21.88%

Both teams to score 56.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63%

43.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.23%

65.77%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53%

15.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.66%

44.34%

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28%

33.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.62%

70.38%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 55.58%

Venezuela 21.88%

Draw 22.54%

Ecuador	Draw	Venezuela
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 6.14% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.58%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 5.75% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.88%