World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 10, 2021 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moises Villarroel 2' yellowcard
  • Adrian Jusino 24' yellowcard
  • Leonel Justiniano 74' yellowcard
  • Henry Vaca 76' redcard
  • Ramiro Vaca 83' goal
  • yellowcard Christofer Gonzales 42'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 76'

Bolivia vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 8, 2021 1.30am
Ecuador 3 - 0 Bolivia

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 8, 2021 2.00am
Peru 2 - 0 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Bolivia 35.87%
Draw 24.54%
Peru 39.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.32%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.4%
Under 2.5 43.6%
Over 3.5 34.01%
Under 3.5 65.99%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5 76.06%
Under 0.5 23.94%
Over 1.5 41.84%
Under 1.5 58.16%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 77.99%
Under 0.5 22.01%
Over 1.5 44.67%
Under 1.5 55.33%

Score analysis

Bolivia 35.87%
Draw 24.54%
Peru 39.59%
Bolivia
2-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
Peru
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 4.35%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.59%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 18, 2019 10.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro
  • Marcelo Martins 28' goal
  • Alejandro Chumacero 30' yellowcard
  • Roberto Fernandez 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Haquin 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 27'
  • yellowcard Paolo Guerrero 42'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 45'
  • goal Jefferson Farfan 55'
  • goal Edison Flores 95'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 1, 2017 3.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Edison Flores 55' goal
  • Christian Cueva 59' goal
  • goal Gilbert Alvarez 72'
Copa America
Jun 26, 2015 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Danny Bejarano 35' yellowcard
  • Pablo Escobar 69' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pedriel 73' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Moreno 84' goal
  • Marcelo Moreno 86' yellowcard
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 20'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 23'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 31'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 61'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 74'
  • yellowcard Victor Yotun 89'
  • yellowcard Jose Reyna 94'