World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Ecuador
1 - 1
Argentina

Valencia (90+3')
Castillo (37'), Caicedo (49'), Franco (56'), Estrada (68'), Hincapie (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Alvarez (24')
Mac Allister (18'), Sebastian Scaloni (67'), Scaloni (67'), Otamendi (68'), Tagliafico (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash with Ecuador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

Last Six:

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Argentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Ecuador win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Argentina
22.29%	24.33%	53.38%

Both teams to score 50.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.52%

50.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6%

72.4%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.69%

37.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.91%

74.09%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15%

18.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7%

50.3%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 22.29%

Argentina 53.38%

Draw 24.32%

Ecuador	Draw	Argentina
1-0 @ 6.93% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.29%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 11.73% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 5.37% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.38%