World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Feb 1, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

Argentina
1 - 0
Colombia

Martinez (29')
Acuna (44'), Montiel (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Suarez Charris (77'), Sanchez (90')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Colombia
55.11%	25.06%	19.83%

Both teams to score 45.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.09%

55.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99%

77.01%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73%

20.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38%

52.62%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.04%

42.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.74%

79.26%

Score Analysis

Argentina 55.11%

Colombia 19.83%

Draw 25.05%

Argentina	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 13.89% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 4.99% 4-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.11%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.83%