Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.