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World Cup

Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
Uruguay national football team

Argentina
3 - 0
Uruguay

Messi (38'), De Paul (44'), Martinez (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Monday's World Cup qualifier against Uruguay.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawUruguay
49.32%25.9%24.78%
Both teams to score 48.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.61%54.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24%75.76%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91%22.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56%55.43%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04%73.96%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 49.31%
    Uruguay 24.78%
    Draw 25.89%
ArgentinaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.12%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.78%

How you voted: Argentina vs Uruguay

Argentina
75.3%
Draw
14.4%
Uruguay
10.3%
97