Chile vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Chile had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.