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Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 11pm UK
 
Argentina national football team

Uruguay
0 - 1
Argentina


Caceres (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
di Maria (7')
Dybala (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up in their 2022 World Cup qualifier against Uruguay.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Argentina win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
UruguayDrawArgentina
42.82%28.03%29.15%
Both teams to score 46.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.37%59.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04%79.95%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9%63.1%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6%36.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82%73.18%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 42.81%
    Argentina 29.15%
    Draw 28.01%
UruguayDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 42.81%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 29.15%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Argentina

Uruguay
8.2%
Draw
11.8%
Argentina
80.0%
220
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
3-0
Uruguay
Messi (38'), De Paul (44'), Martinez (62')
Jun 19, 2021 1am
Nov 18, 2019 7.15pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
2-2
Uruguay
Sep 1, 2017 12am
Jun 18, 2015 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Uruguay
Aguero (56')
Mascherano (45'), Rojo (71'), Romero (84')

Lodeiro (31'), Godin (65'), Pereira (86')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
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Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!