Uruguay vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Argentina win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.