International Friendly

Jun 6, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Soldier Field

Mexico
0 - 0
Ecuador

Guardado (28'), Vega (47'), Gallardo (66')

Gruezo (34'), Cifuentes (41'), Caicedo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

Last Six:

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Ecuador

Last Six:

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Ecuador
57.62% ( 0.02)	26.54% ( 0.01)	15.84% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 35.79% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.84% (

-0.05)

65.16% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16% (

-0.04)

84% (

0.04)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93% (

-0.01)

23.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.09% (

-0.02)

56.91% (

0.02)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.52% (

-0.07)

53.48% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.05% (

-0.05)

86.95% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Mexico 57.61%

Ecuador 15.84%

Draw 26.53%

Mexico	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 18.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.61%	0-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.84%