Mexico vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.