MX23RW : Tuesday, August 16 20:31:02| >> :60:102:102:
Jun 3, 2022 at 3am UK
Mexico
0 - 3
Uruguay

Araujo (42'), Alvarez (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vecino (35'), Cavani (46', 53')
Torreira (68')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Uruguay vs. Panama
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 0-1 Uruguay

These are two intelligent and compact defensive units that are well organised and difficult to break down, though we believe Uruguay will have a slight edge in a variety of categories, including experience and individual quality, plus they have faced much stiffer competition when compared to El Tri. Those factors and the fact that this match is being played at a neutral venue rather than Estadio Azteca should favour La Celeste. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawUruguay
39.89% (0.378 0.38) 25.49% (-0.256 -0.26) 34.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.854 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (1.109 1.11)48.09% (-1.105 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (1.01 1.01)70.25% (-1.006 -1.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.69499999999999 0.69)23.84% (-0.691 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (0.984 0.98)58.03% (-0.98 -0.98)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.45999999999999 0.46)26.75% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.601 0.6)62.02% (-0.596 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 39.89%
    Uruguay 34.63%
    Draw 25.48%
MexicoDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.235 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.114 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.89%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.297 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 34.63%

How you voted: Mexico vs Uruguay

Mexico
35.2%
Draw
9.3%
Uruguay
55.6%
108
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2018 3.08am
Mexico
1-4
Uruguay
Jimenez (25' pen.)
Gimenez (21'), Suarez (32', 40'), Pereiro (59')
Suarez (29'), Bentancur (37')
rhs 2.0
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