World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2021 at 8pm UK

Bolivia
3 - 0
Uruguay

Carlos Arce (29', 79'), Moreno (45')
Quinteros (21')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzalez (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolivia	Draw	Uruguay
28%	23.94%	48.07%

Both teams to score 57.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07%

43.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69%

66.31%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97%

29.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07%

64.93%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59%

18.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.43%

49.57%

Score Analysis

Bolivia 28%

Uruguay 48.07%

Draw 23.93%

Bolivia	Draw	Uruguay
2-1 @ 6.92% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.42% Total : 28%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.07%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Uruguay

Bolivia

29.3%

Draw

5.4%

Uruguay

65.2%