World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2021 at 9pm UK

Bolivia
4 - 0
Paraguay

Ramallo (21'), Villarroel (53'), Abrego (84'), Fernandez (90+4')
Ramallo (45+2'), Carlos Arce (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardozo (43'), Gomez (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivia would win this match.

Result
Bolivia	Draw	Paraguay
38.9%	24.92%	36.18%

Both teams to score 58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.67%

45.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.33%

67.67%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88%

23.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.02%

56.98%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44%

24.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95%

59.05%

Score Analysis

Bolivia 38.9%

Paraguay 36.18%

Draw 24.91%

Bolivia	Draw	Paraguay
2-1 @ 8.55% 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.9%	1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91%	1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.18%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Paraguay

Bolivia

30.5%

Draw

23.3%

Paraguay

46.2%