World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 14, 2021 9.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Ramallo 21' goal
  • Rodrigo Ramallo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Moises Villarroel 53' goal
  • Juan Carlos Arce 78' yellowcard
  • Victor Abrego 84' goal
  • Roberto Fernandez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Angel Cardozo 43'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 82'

Bolivia vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 10, 2021 9.00pm
Bolivia 1 - 0 Peru

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 11, 2021 1.00am
Chile 2 - 0 Paraguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivia would win this match.

Result

Bolivia 38.9%
Draw 24.92%
Paraguay 36.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

58%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.67%
Under 2.5 45.33%
Over 3.5 32.33%
Under 3.5 67.67%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5 76.88%
Under 0.5 23.12%
Over 1.5 43.02%
Under 1.5 56.98%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 75.44%
Under 0.5 24.56%
Over 1.5 40.95%
Under 1.5 59.05%

Score analysis

Bolivia 38.9%
Draw 24.91%
Paraguay 36.18%
Bolivia
2-1 @ 8.55%
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 38.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
Paraguay
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 15, 2021 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Santiago Arzamendia 8' yellowcard
  • Alberto Espinola 45'+11' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Romero 62' goal
  • Angel Romero 65' goal
  • Angel Romero 80' goal
  • goal Erwin Saavedra 10'
  • yellowcard Diego Bejarano 29'
  • yellowcard Jaume Cuellar Mendoza 38'
  • yellowcard Jorge Flores 40'
  • redcard Jaume Cuellar Mendoza 45'+9'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 17, 2020 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Angel Romero 19' goal
  • Angel Romero 72' goal
  • goal Marcelo Moreno 41'
  • goal Boris Cespedes 45'