World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jan 27, 2022 at 11pm UK

Paraguay
0 - 1
Uruguay

FT(HT: 0-0)

Suarez (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Uruguay
35.43%	27.25%	37.32%

Both teams to score 50.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.62%

55.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42%

76.58%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21%

29.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13%

65.87%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36%

28.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54%

64.45%

Score Analysis

Paraguay 35.43%

Uruguay 37.31%

Draw 27.24%

Paraguay	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.43%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.31%