World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

Uruguay
1 - 0
Peru

De Arrascaeta (42')
Pellistri (72'), Suarez (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

Last Six:

Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Uruguay vs. Panama
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Peru

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Peru
55.5%	25.21%	19.29%

Both teams to score 44.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95%

57.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06%

77.94%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43%

20.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.9%

53.1%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.75%

44.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.68%

80.32%

Score Analysis

Uruguay 55.5%

Peru 19.29%

Draw 25.2%

Uruguay	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.89% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.5%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.29%