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World Cup
Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
 
Peru national football team

Uruguay
1 - 0
Peru

De Arrascaeta (42')
Pellistri (72'), Suarez (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

Last Six:
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Uruguay vs. Panama
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Peru

Last Six:
Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Uruguay 2-1 Peru

 A closely-fought contest is set to take place in Montevideo, though Uruguay will head into this fixture as favourites given their star names such as Suarez and Cavani can be called upon. Peru will likely cause problems in the final third, but we believe the hosts possess greater firepower in attack which should see them outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.

Result
UruguayDrawPeru
55.5%25.21%19.29%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95%57.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06%77.94%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43%20.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9%53.1%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75%44.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.68%80.32%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 55.5%
    Peru 19.29%
    Draw 25.2%
UruguayDrawPeru
1-0 @ 14.39%
2-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 4.89%
4-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.5%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.29%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Peru

Uruguay
61.2%
Draw
15.8%
Peru
23.0%
139
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2021 2am
CONMEBOL Standings
Peru
1-1
Uruguay
Tapia (25')
De Arrascaeta (29')
Godin (80')
Oct 16, 2019 2.30am
Peru
1-1
Uruguay
Gonzales (34')
Zambrano (23'), Trauco (36'), Advincula (71')
Nunez (80')
Caceres (26')
Caceres (26')
Oct 12, 2019 12am
Uruguay
1-0
Peru
Rodriguez (17')
Caceres (84'), Bentancur (88')

Zambrano (10'), Costa (49'), Advincula (88')
Jun 29, 2019 8pm
Uruguay
0-0
Peru
 Peru win 5-4 on penalties
> Match Report
Mar 21, 2019 9pm
Peru
P-P
Uruguay
rhs 2.0
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