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World Cup

Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Feb 1, 2022 at 11pm UK
 
Venezuela national football team

Uruguay
4 - 1
Venezuela

Bentancur (1'), De Arrascaeta (23'), Cavani (45+1'), Suarez (53' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Martinez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.02%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawVenezuela
62%24.18%13.82%
Both teams to score 37.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07%60.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06%80.94%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44%19.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52%51.48%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.13%53.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.81%87.19%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 61.99%
    Venezuela 13.82%
    Draw 24.16%
UruguayDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 17.19%
2-0 @ 14.02%
2-1 @ 8.68%
3-0 @ 7.63%
3-1 @ 4.72%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 61.99%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 3.29%
0-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 13.82%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Venezuela

Uruguay
76.8%
Draw
12.8%
Venezuela
10.4%
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