Mexico

3 - 0

Suriname

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Suriname win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.