CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 12, 2022 3.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
  • Israel Reyes 3' goal
  • Israel Reyes 4' goal
  • Julian Araujo 10' yellowcard
  • Julian Araujo 11' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 24' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 25' yellowcard
  • Henry Martin 40' goal
  • Erick Sanchez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Shaquille Pinas 59'
  • yellowcard Calvin Mac-Intosch 61'

Mexico vs Suriname - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

Suriname

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 2.00am
Jamaica 3 - 1 Suriname

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Suriname win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result

Mexico 61.4% (+0.02)
Draw 22.81% (-0.02)
Suriname 15.79% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.64% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.86% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 53.14% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.28% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 74.71% (-0.06)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 83.11% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 16.89% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 53.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 46.93% (-0.05)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5 53.71% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.29% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 18.06% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 81.94% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Mexico 61.4%
Draw 22.81%
Suriname 15.79%
Mexico
1-0 @ 13.9% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.36% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 61.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 22.81%
Suriname
0-1 @ 6.02% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 15.79%