Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.