World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 24, 2022 at 11am UK

South Korea
2 - 0
Iran

Heung-min (45+2'), Young-gwon (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nourollahi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

Last Six:

Last Game: South Korea 2-0 Chile
Monday, June 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: South Korea vs. Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	3	3	6
2	Mexico	3	-1	6
3	South Korea	3	0	3
4	Germany	3	-2	3

Iran

Last Six:

Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: England vs. Iran
Monday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	1	5
2	Portugal	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	0	4
4	Morocco	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest South Korea win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Iran
37.93%	23.21%	38.86%

Both teams to score 64.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.1%

36.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.92%

59.08%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12%

19.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48%

51.99%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55%

19.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.7%

51.29%

Score Analysis

South Korea 37.93%

Iran 38.86%

Draw 23.2%

South Korea	Draw	Iran
2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.2% Total : 37.93%	1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 6.76% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.34% Total : 38.86%