World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 24, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Son Heung-min 45'+2' goal
  • Kim Young-gwon 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ahmad Nourollahi 73'

South Korea vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 2.00pm
Syria 0 - 2 South Korea

Iran

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 2.30pm
Iran 1 - 0 UAE

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest South Korea win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

South Korea 37.93%
Draw 23.21%
Iran 38.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.54%

Goals

Over 2.5 63.1%
Under 2.5 36.9%
Over 3.5 40.92%
Under 3.5 59.08%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 80.12%
Under 0.5 19.88%
Over 1.5 48%
Under 1.5 51.99%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 80.55%
Under 0.5 19.45%
Over 1.5 48.7%
Under 1.5 51.29%

Score analysis

South Korea 37.93%
Draw 23.2%
Iran 38.86%
South Korea
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 37.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 6.76%
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.2%
Iran
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 38.86%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Omid Noorafkan 62' yellowcard
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 76' goal
  • Sardar Azmoun 80' yellowcard
  • goal Son Heung-min 48'
International Friendlies
Jun 11, 2019 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hwang Eui-Jo 57' goal
  • Hwang In-Beom 76' yellowcard
  • goal Kim Young-Gwon 62' (OG)