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Lebanon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 12pm UK
 
Iran national football team

Lebanon
1 - 2
Iran

Saad (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Azmoun (90+2'), Nourollahi (90+5')
Ghoddos (49'), Jahanbakhsh (51'), Mohammadi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
LebanonDrawIran
17.72%22.88%59.4%
Both teams to score 48.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59%50.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66%72.34%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82%42.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41%78.59%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38%16.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55%46.45%
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 17.72%
    Iran 59.39%
    Draw 22.88%
LebanonDrawIran
1-0 @ 6.05%
2-1 @ 4.69%
2-0 @ 2.61%
3-1 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 17.72%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 12.58%
0-2 @ 11.28%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-3 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-4 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.52%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-5 @ 1.09%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 59.39%

How you voted: Lebanon vs Iran

Lebanon
15.3%
Draw
8.3%
Iran
76.4%
72
rhs 2.0


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