World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 16, 2021 at 3pm UK

Iraq
0 - 3
South Korea

Adnan (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jae-sung (33'), Heung-min (74' pen.), Woo-yeong (80')
Chul (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
Iraq	Draw	South Korea
31.43%	29.18%	39.39%

Both teams to score 43.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.17%

62.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.66%

82.34%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.6%

36.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.82%

73.18%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91%

31.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59%

67.4%

Score Analysis

Iraq 31.43%

South Korea 39.38%

Draw 29.17%

Iraq	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.43%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 13.21% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.38%

How you voted: Iraq vs South Korea

Iraq

11.5%

Draw

13.5%

South Korea

75.0%