World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 15, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
1 - 0
Iraq

Azmoun (35')
Nourollahi (9'), Jahanbakhsh (41'), Moharrami (53'), Azmoun (77'), Taremi (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tariq (12'), Natiq (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match.

Result
Iran	Draw	Iraq
55.8%	23.3%	20.89%

Both teams to score 52.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.16%

47.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.97%

70.02%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.02%

16.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.93%

47.07%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8%

37.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02%

73.98%

Score Analysis

Iran 55.8%

Iraq 20.89%

Draw 23.3%

Iran	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 0.92% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.03% Total : 55.8%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.89%

How you voted: Iran vs Iraq

Iran

64.9%

Draw

12.3%

Iraq

22.8%