World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 12, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

UAE
2 - 2
Iraq

Caio (33'), Mabkhout (90+3')
Ramadan (36'), Abdulrahman (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Attas (74' og.), Hussein (89')
Abdulkadhim (22'), Hussein (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Iraq
50.14%	26.81%	23.05%

Both teams to score 44.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.02%

58.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54%

79.46%

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33%

23.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22%

57.78%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.62%

41.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.11%

77.89%

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 50.13%

Iraq 23.05%

Draw 26.81%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 14.11% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.48% Total : 50.13%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.17% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.2% Total : 23.05%