Iraq vs Cambodia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Cambodia had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Cambodia win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.