World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 7, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Iraq
0 - 0
Lebanon

Attwan (6'), Resan (83'), Tariq (84')

Michel Melki (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Lebanon
47.13%	26.31%	26.55%

Both teams to score 49.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.28%

54.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.96%

76.04%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79%

23.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.89%

57.11%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16%

35.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39%

72.61%

Score Analysis

Iraq 47.13%

Lebanon 26.55%

Draw 26.3%

Iraq	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.79% Total : 47.13%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.55%

How you voted: Iraq vs Lebanon

Iraq

73.0%

Draw

16.2%

Lebanon

10.8%