World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Hong Kong0 - 1Iraq
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iraq in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Iraq |
| 35.94% | 26.69% | 37.36% |
| Both teams to score 51.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
