World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Jun 11, 2021 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Shinichi Chan 51' yellowcard
  • Wang Kit Tsui 81' yellowcard
  • goal Mohammad Qasem 13'
  • yellowcard Maitham Jabbar 71'
  • yellowcard Saad Natiq 79'

Hong Kong vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jun 3, 2021 3.30pm
Iran 3 - 1 Hong Kong

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jun 7, 2021 3.30pm
Iraq 4 - 1 Cambodia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iraq in this match.

Result

Hong Kong 35.94%
Draw 26.69%
Iraq 37.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.91%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.89%
Under 2.5 53.1%
Over 3.5 25.31%
Under 3.5 74.68%

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 71.63%
Under 0.5 28.37%
Over 1.5 35.89%
Under 1.5 64.11%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 72.47%
Under 0.5 27.52%
Over 1.5 36.96%
Under 1.5 63.03%

Score analysis

Hong Kong 35.94%
Draw 26.69%
Iraq 37.36%
Hong Kong
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.16%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.69%
Iraq
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.36%