Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
