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Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
 
United Arab Emirates national football team

Indonesia
0 - 5
UAE


Mangkualam (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mabkhout (22', 49' pen.), Lima (28', 55'), Tagliabue (86')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Indonesia and United Arab Emirates.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
IndonesiaDrawUnited Arab Emirates
32.9%22.71%44.4%
Both teams to score 65.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.6%35.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56%57.44%
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26%21.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09%54.91%
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48%16.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74%46.26%
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 32.9%
    United Arab Emirates 44.4%
    Draw 22.71%
IndonesiaDrawUnited Arab Emirates
2-1 @ 7.53%
1-0 @ 5.48%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 32.9%
1-1 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 6.78%
0-0 @ 3.59%
3-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-1 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 5.33%
2-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.49%
1-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.57%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 44.4%

How you voted: Indonesia vs UAE

Indonesia
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
United Arab Emirates
60.0%
10
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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