World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 12, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
1 - 1
South Korea

Jahanbakhsh (76')
Noorafkan (62'), Azmoun (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Heung-min (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for South Korea had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a South Korea win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Iran	Draw	South Korea
56.19%	22.45%	21.36%

Both teams to score 55.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.42%

43.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.03%

65.97%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66%

15.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.91%

44.09%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97%

71.03%

Score Analysis

Iran 56.19%

South Korea 21.36%

Draw 22.44%

Iran	Draw	South Korea
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 5.78% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.19%	1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 5.64% 0-1 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.36%

How you voted: Iran vs South Korea

Iran

59.0%

Draw

12.6%

South Korea

28.4%