World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 9, 2021 at 12pm UK

Sri Lanka
0 - 5
South Korea

Duckson Puslas (28'), Chameera (32'), Rahuman (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Shin-wook (15', 43' pen.), Lee (22'), Hee-chan (53'), Jeong (77')
Kim (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Sri Lanka and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Sri Lanka win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
Sri Lanka	Draw	South Korea
33.96%	27.36%	38.69%

Both teams to score 49.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.06%

55.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.96%

77.04%

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98%

31.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67%

67.33%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89%

28.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21%

63.79%

Score Analysis

Sri Lanka 33.95%

South Korea 38.68%

Draw 27.35%

Sri Lanka	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.95%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.68%

How you voted: Sri Lanka vs South Korea

Sri Lanka

39.5%

Draw

2.3%

South Korea

58.1%