World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 7, 2021 at 12pm UK

South Korea
1 - 0
Lebanon

Chang-hoon (60')
Chang-hoon (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maatouk (49'), Shour (56'), Al Zein (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Lebanon
57.59%	24.76%	17.65%

Both teams to score 42.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.53%

57.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.73%

78.26%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09%

19.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96%

52.03%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.56%

46.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.94%

82.06%

Score Analysis

South Korea 57.58%

Lebanon 17.65%

Draw 24.75%

South Korea	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 14.92% 2-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.41% Total : 57.58%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.42% Total : 17.65%