World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Jan 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
1 - 0
Iraq

Taremi (48')
Khalilzadeh (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abdul-Amir (35'), Resan (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.99%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.82%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
Iran	Draw	Iraq
63.18%	24.47%	12.35%

Both teams to score 33.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.97%

64.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.8%

83.2%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66%

20.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.26%

52.73%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.85%

58.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.33%

89.67%

Score Analysis

Iran 63.17%

Iraq 12.35%

Draw 24.46%

Iran	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 18.83% 2-0 @ 14.99% 2-1 @ 8.13% 3-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.32% 4-0 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.87% Total : 63.17%	0-0 @ 11.82% 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 2.77% 0-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.35%

How you voted: Iran vs Iraq

Iran

85.1%

Draw

7.5%

Iraq