Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 51%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for South Korea.