World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Jan 27, 2022 at 12pm UK

Lebanon
0 - 1
South Korea

Oumari (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kyu-Sung (45+1')
Woo-young (36'), Young-gwon (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 51%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for South Korea.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	South Korea
24.58%	24.42%	51%

Both teams to score 53.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33%

48.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22%

70.78%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77%

34.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08%

70.92%

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91%

19.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3%

50.69%

Score Analysis

Lebanon 24.58%

South Korea 50.99%

Draw 24.41%

Lebanon	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.58%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 5.3% 0-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.99%

How you voted: Lebanon vs South Korea

Lebanon

12.3%

Draw

7.0%

South Korea

80.7%