World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 16, 2021 at 12pm UK

Lebanon
0 - 1
UAE

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mabkhout (85' pen.)
Essa (43'), Alzaabi (80'), Tagliabue (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for United Arab Emirates in this match.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	United Arab Emirates
22.18%	25.15%	52.67%

Both teams to score 48.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21%

53.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74%

75.26%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.72%

39.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.02%

75.98%

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58%

20.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.14%

52.86%

Score Analysis

Lebanon 22.18%

United Arab Emirates 52.67%

Draw 25.14%

Lebanon	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3.5% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.18%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 12.74% 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-3 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 5.01% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-4 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.67%