World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 12, 2021 at 5pm UK

Syria
2 - 3
Lebanon

Khribin (20'), Al Somah (64')
Rahman Oues (81'), Omari (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kadouh (45+1', 45+3'), Saad (53')
Kadouh (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Syria and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Syria	Draw	Lebanon
41.55%	26.04%	32.4%

Both teams to score 53.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49%

51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.14%

72.86%

Syria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71%

24.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34%

58.65%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Syria 41.55%

Lebanon 32.4%

Draw 26.04%

Syria	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.55%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Syria vs Lebanon

Syria

58.7%

Draw

30.4%

Lebanon

10.9%