World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 9, 2021 at 7am UK

Turkmenistan
3 - 2
Lebanon

Babajanow (59'), Guychmyrat (85'), Annadurdiyev (90+1')
Amanow (32'), Annadurdiyev (64'), Saparmammedov (78'), Annayev (90+2'), R (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ataya (73'), Saad (75')
Monther (11'), Oumari (60')
Mansour (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Turkmenistan and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkmenistan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkmenistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkmenistan would win this match.

Result
Turkmenistan	Draw	Lebanon
40.96%	25.93%	33.11%

Both teams to score 53.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66%

50.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72%

72.28%

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7%

24.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33%

58.67%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37%

64.62%

Score Analysis

Turkmenistan 40.96%

Lebanon 33.11%

Draw 25.93%

Turkmenistan	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.96%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.11%

How you voted: Turkmenistan vs Lebanon

Turkmenistan

33.3%

Draw

11.1%

Lebanon

55.6%