Turkmenistan vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkmenistan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkmenistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkmenistan would win this match.