World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
2 - 0
Lebanon

Azmoun (35'), Jahanbakhsh (72')
Ezatolahi (14')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kadouh (31'), Haidar (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

Last Six:

Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: England vs. Iran
Monday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	1	5
2	Portugal	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	0	4
4	Morocco	3	-2	1

Lebanon

Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Iran in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
Iran	Draw	Lebanon
61.21%	22.65%	16.14%

Both teams to score 45.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01%

51.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27%

73.72%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44%

16.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.67%

46.33%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.87%

45.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.96%

81.03%

Score Analysis

Iran 61.2%

Lebanon 16.14%

Draw 22.65%

Iran	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 13.43% 2-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.76% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 61.2%	1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.14%