/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Firnlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fleblog.png)
-
Saeed Ezatolahi
14'
-
Sardar Azmoun
35'
-
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
72'
-
Muhammad Kadouh
31'
-
Mohamad Haidar
41'
Iran vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F04%2Firaira_2.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Iran in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Iran.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Iran Goals
Lebanon Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 5.76%
4-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.29%
5-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 61.2%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.14%