World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 24, 2022 at 12pm UK

Lebanon
0 - 3
Syria

Al Zain (71')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Al Dali (14'), Mardikian (38' pen.), Al Marmour (44')
Al Dali (43'), Hameesheh (76'), Rihanieh (83')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between Lebanon and Syria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Syria

Last Game: Syria 1-0 Tajikistan
Wednesday, June 1 at 4.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	Syria
36.87%	25.05%	38.08%

Both teams to score 57.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.12%

45.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81%

68.19%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56%

24.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13%

58.87%

Syria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21%

23.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05%

57.95%

Score Analysis

Lebanon 36.87%

Syria 38.08%

Draw 25.05%

Lebanon	Draw	Syria
2-1 @ 8.29% 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.87%	1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.08%