World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Feb 1, 2022 at 12pm UK

Lebanon
1 - 1
Iraq

Sabra (45+2')
Michel Melki (26'), Sabra (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hussein (40')
Jassem (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	Iraq
35.68%	27.27%	37.05%

Both teams to score 50.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54%

55.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35%

76.65%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32%

29.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27%

65.73%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16%

28.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3%

64.7%

Score Analysis

Lebanon 35.67%

Iraq 37.05%

Draw 27.26%

Lebanon	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.67%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Lebanon vs Iraq

Lebanon

19.0%

Draw

59.5%

Iraq

21.4%