/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fleblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Firqlog.png)
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Felix Michel Melki
26'
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Maher Sabra
45'+2'
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Maher Sabra
71'
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Aymen Hussein
40'
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Sajad Jassem
60'
Lebanon vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Lebanon
35.68%
Draw
27.27%
Iraq
37.05%
Both Teams to Score:
50.04%
Goals
Over 2.5
44.54%
Under 2.5
55.46%
Over 3.5
23.35%
Under 3.5
76.65%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5
70.32%
Under 0.5
29.68%
Over 1.5
34.27%
Under 1.5
65.73%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5
71.16%
Under 0.5
28.84%
Over 1.5
35.3%
Under 1.5
64.7%
Score analysis
Lebanon
35.67%
Draw
27.26%
Iraq
37.05%
Lebanon
1-0
@
10.39%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.67%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.67%
Draw
1-1
@
12.92%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
Iraq
0-1
@
10.64%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.05%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.05%